Month’s Theme: A sideways-fluctuating rally that precedes a decline. That’s crossed with a U-shaped dip.
Behavior Around the High: A decline off of the high that offers an opportunity to open a long position.
Behavior Around the Low: An important technical price level on a one-year scale.
Trade Opportunities:
An opportunity to open a long position on the 3rd before a move higher on a multi-day scale. You could close that around the cusp of the 8th/9th.
When the long position is closed late on the 8th or early on the 9th there’s an opportunity to open a short position. I would most likely close that on the 13th. The last opportunity would be on the 20th.
Overview
The strongest probable locations of the lowest lows are the 10th and the 17th. We may have a first low for the month around the 8th/9th. The strongest probable locations of the highest high(s) are between the 13th and 15th. There may be another high for the month around the 22nd/23rd. There’s a notable rebound to the upside on the 30th.
On the 1st, there’s a lot of price change and a sharp decline into a trough. There’s a steep drop from the 2nd into the 3rd followed by a notable move to the upside on the 3rd. On the 6th, there’s some sideways rotation and a sharp drop overnight into the 7th. On the 7th, we’ll have sideways rotation and a dip within that period of sideways rotation. We’ll have an unexpected move higher on the 8th into a high at a crest or peak. We’ll have a sharp drop from that on the 9th and into the 10th. We may have a failed attempt to break through key resistance and a decline through key support. There’s probably a gap up over the weekend and then have a notable decline through key support on the 13th that takes us into another low.
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